Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 97943.588378 103227.115786 108505.130888 114169.748377 120073.587588 126041.775894 132527.421450
2025-08-17 88753.009811 96805.528888 105070.429798 114176.676633 123917.427319 134013.636233 145258.393603
2025-08-24 83079.088689 93103.898351 103614.066399 115432.658037 128329.817019 141954.280450 157412.470990
2025-08-31 77791.412933 89208.891529 101396.382924 115337.644739 130806.246334 147405.772567 166527.602129
2025-09-07 74521.225470 87174.429948 100891.448212 116813.214755 134730.014468 154212.585154 176942.478795
2025-09-14 71463.927038 85119.819864 100132.276319 117787.942593 137907.547825 160043.747842 186160.974776
2025-09-21 68290.737484 82723.568149 98798.187591 117934.309553 139995.275396 164529.896940 193774.583006
2025-09-28 65488.649070 80590.654085 97616.153835 118114.165612 141999.373111 168826.475495 201104.300048
2025-10-05 63947.916266 79827.161235 97926.399269 119939.180058 145836.143775 175179.802457 210779.706827
2025-10-12 62375.169042 78933.196512 98004.286400 121422.981629 149223.886654 180986.418440 219821.533583
2025-10-19 60562.674932 77663.449874 97560.340915 122220.977586 151751.758068 185759.145714 227648.810484
2025-10-26 58521.708323 76030.639781 96605.715606 122338.883761 153415.288549 189478.209039 234219.130301
2025-11-02 56719.651036 74644.761937 95916.116658 122757.707012 155441.460259 193654.256109 241393.350967
2025-11-09 54868.419290 73133.051347 95017.373973 122874.430294 157069.578351 197341.660841 247994.453772
2025-11-16 53759.289236 72502.017526 95159.735584 124233.243101 160186.141679 202810.461499 256752.116414
2025-11-23 52009.023637 70998.371446 94165.499853 124138.152488 161484.027268 206060.639499 262826.382206
2025-11-30 51156.947651 70604.466865 94527.062619 125706.275750 164818.792907 211786.707782 271930.603164
2025-12-07 50107.996446 69917.052733 94485.354050 126741.455308 167476.150187 216684.159179 280041.747235
2025-12-14 48714.723130 68735.966884 93776.080863 126896.916627 169007.438389 220184.018728 286439.564350
2025-12-21 47408.412057 67627.090037 93121.476525 127087.873987 170557.532765 223693.631549 292851.861492
2025-12-28 46930.935857 67594.475376 93837.977295 129025.194460 174316.581836 229961.171209 302719.822823
2026-01-04 46324.338737 67366.129955 94282.371049 130600.066404 177613.332025 235663.894727 311915.414849
2026-01-11 45441.695080 66737.909819 94180.246415 131446.953763 179968.832770 240188.016934 319654.255371